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Now that the S & P 500 and most major stock market indexes are at or near historic highs, expect a raft of earnings and year-end price target revisions for the S & P 500 to be coming. First up with an upward revision was Brian Belski at BMO Capital, who Wednesday raised his year-end S & P target to 5,600 from 5,100. The median price target (half above, half below) is 5,200. Earnings for the rest of the year have been remarkably stable, but the key point is that each quarter is higher and a record for S & P 500 profits: 2024 S & P 500 quarterly earnings estimates Q2: $59.46 (record) Q3: $63.49 (record) Q4: $65.08 (record) Source: LSEG Valuations (roughly 20 times forward S & P 500 earnings) are pricey but not unreasonable given the continuing strength of the economy and the prospects of AI-boosted returns. May: market advance broadens (advance/decline line) S & P 500: near new high S & P Mid Cap: new high S & P Small Cap: highest since Dec.
Persons: Sam Stovall, CFRA, Brian Belski, Belski, Subramanian, Venu Krishna, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Oppenheimer, John Stoltzfus, Lori Calvasina, Manish, Nicolaus, Barry Banniester, Jonathan Golub, Chris Harvey, Dubravko, Bujas, Cantor Fitzgerald, Eric Johnson, Scott Chronert, Julian Emanuel, Fundstrat, Tom Lee, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Hugo Ste, Stovall Organizations: BMO Capital, Wall, of America, Barclays, BMO, RBC, Societe Generale, UBS, Bloomberg, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, ISI, JPMorgan, Scotiabank, @VX Locations: Wells Fargo, Marie
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA pullback on the 50-day average could end the bull run, warns JPMorgan's Jason HunterJason Hunter, JPMorgan head of technical strategy, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss why he expects an end of the bull run.
Persons: JPMorgan's Jason Hunter Jason Hunter, JPMorgan
The Wednesday release of the April CPI report has the potential to shake up the stock market. A cool inflation report would bode well for interest rate cuts from the Fed and vice versa if it's hotter than expected. JPMorgan laid out six scenarios for April CPI and how the stock market could react to each. The coming inflation report is set to market-shaking because it will help investors determine when the Federal Reserve might move forward with interest rate cuts. At the start of the year, the market was pricing in as many as seven interest rate cuts, but that has dwindled to just two rate cuts before year-end.
Persons: bode, , Defensives outperforming, JPMorgan's Andrew Tyler, Tyler, Immaculate Disinflation Organizations: Fed, JPMorgan, Service, Federal Reserve, China PPI Locations: China
Read previewFiona Harvey claimed that Piers Morgan paid her £250 ($313) to interview her about "Baby Reindeer," and said she wants £1 million ($1.25 m) from him instead. But Harvey denied doing that in real life and described Gadd as "psychotic" during a 54-minute long interview on "Piers Morgan Uncensored." After previously saying she felt "used" by Morgan, in an interview with the Daily Record published on Tuesday, Harvey criticized Morgan's show for paying her £250. Harvey also claimed that the broadcaster didn't interact with her while she was on the "Piers Morgan Uncensored" set. Representatives for "Piers Morgan Uncensored" responded to a request for comment from BI by pointing toward Tuesday's episode of the ITV chatshow, "Lorraine."
Persons: , Fiona Harvey, Piers Morgan, Harvey, Martha Scott, Richard Gadd's, Scott, Donny Dunn, Gadd, Morgan, Morgan's, Piers, Lorraine, Lorraine Kelly Organizations: Service, Netflix, Business, Daily, ITV Locations: Scotland
All this, the business administration student says, is part of his quest to land a job with a big bank like Goldman Sachs or JPMorgan. Advertisement"I have to grind a lot for academics and then do internships on top of that," Loh said. Many Singapore students have adopted a similar playbook to Loh's, padding their résumés with stacks of internships in the hopes of landing a spot at a top bank. AdvertisementHussain ended up doing five internships throughout his college career, including stints at a hedge fund and a private bank. Tan is slated to join a top European bank as an investment banking analyst this summer.
Persons: , Channon Loh, he's, Loh, Goldman Sachs, Mike Kemp, Eric Sim, Sim, It's, Adnan Hussain, Hussain, Adnan Hussain Adnan Hussain, you'll, Nicholas Tan, Tan, Duo Geng Goh, Goh, it's, Chi Ang, gunning, Ang, Adrian Choo, Choo Organizations: Service, National University of Singapore, NUS, JPMorgan, Business, Getty, Goldman, Harvard, Crazy Rich, UBS Investment Bank, BI, Singapore Management University, SMU, Students, Banking Locations: Singapore, Crazy
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewWarren Buffett is cashing in stocks like Apple because he knows the good times won't last — but he'll spend big once disaster strikes, a veteran strategist says. AdvertisementThe conglomerate's disposals fueled a $21 billion increase in its stack of cash and Treasurys to a record $189 billion. Related storiesDietrich underscored that as a value investor, Buffett prizes underpriced assets and avoids expensive ones. Apple, which remains Buffett's largest stock holding by far, has more than tripled in value since he finished building the position in 2018.
Persons: , Warren Buffett, Paul Dietrich, Riley Wealth, Buffett, Dietrich, He's, Jeff Bezos, Jamie Dimon, Meta's Mark Zuckerberg, he'll, Goldman Sachs, Davidson Organizations: Service, Apple, Business, Berkshire Hathaway, Berkshire, Walmart, downturns, Electric, Dow Chemical Locations: Berkshire
For most investors, holding just one passive global stock market fund and one passive global bond market fund over the long term is the best way to construct a portfolio, the strategists said. While some more time-consuming, complicated strategies may allow for higher returns, this approach gives investors the best all-around bang for their buck, Loeys and Wise said. Our point is instead that we believe you can achieve most, if not all of your financial objectives by following our KISS approach. Two stock funds that do this include the Vanguard Total World Stock Index Fund (VTWAX) and the SPDR Portfolio MSCI Global Stock Market ETF (SPGM). For investors who want to do more with their portfolio, Loeys and Wise suggested dedicating 80%-90% of one's portfolio to the above strategy, and using the other 10%-20% on other investments.
Persons: Jan Loeys, Alexander Wise, Wise, Joeys, Loeys Organizations: JPMorgan, Business, KISS, Index, Stock Market, Bond, Fidelity
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's why JPMorgan's Christopher Horvers is favoring Lowe's over Home DepotChristopher Horvers, JPMorgan senior analyst, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss his thoughts on the home improvement sector, the macroeconomic data points regarding the consumer, and much more.
Persons: Christopher Horvers, Depot Christopher Horvers Organizations: Depot, JPMorgan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe 'cash is trash' mantra just makes me laugh, JPMorgan's Bill EigenBill Eigen, JPMorgan Asset Management head of the absolute return and opportunistic fixed income team, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, why interest rate hike may actually be boosting the economy, the Fed's interest rate outlook, and more.
Persons: Bill Eigen Bill Eigen Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management
JPMorgan's CEO of Asset & Wealth Management, Mary Callahan Erdoes, spoke with BI about AI. "It has to be okay to ask the questions," Erdoes said. AdvertisementOne of JPMorgan's top execs believes a single human trait will define the winners of the AI age. "Curiosity," Mary Callahan Erdoes, the CEO of JPMorgan Chase's Asset and Wealth Management division, told Business Insider in an interview. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: Mary Callahan Erdoes, Erdoes, , execs Organizations: Asset, Wealth Management, Service, JPMorgan Chase's, Harvard's, Design Institute, Harvard Business School, JPMorgan, Business
It's well known that Trump Media stock trades at a premium valuation, but one chart shows just how absurd it is. AdvertisementA lot has been written about Trump Media and Technology Group's premium valuation, but one chart really helps put it into perspective. The social media company, founded by former President Donald Trump, has a market valuation of nearly $7 billion. Another way to value the profitless Trump Media is to compare its current market valuation to its monthly active user base. Since Trump Media's recent stock surge,that valuation has surged to $1,309 per Truth Social user, and at its peak in March, each Truth Social user was worth $1,794.
Persons: Donald Trump's, , Donald Trump, Michael Cembalest, Alex W, Cembalest, Steve Sosnick, MAGA, Sosnick Organizations: Trump Media, Service, Technology, Truth, MSNBC, JPMorgan, Trump, Interactive Brokers Locations: 1,590x
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHopefully by 2025 the IPO market is 'back to normal', says JPMorgan's Jennifer NasonJennifer Nason, JPMorgan global chairman of investment banking, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the state of the IPO market, how the recent class of IPOs are performing and more.
Persons: Jennifer Nason Jennifer Nason Organizations: JPMorgan
(This is CNBC Pro's live coverage of Wednesday's analyst calls and Wall Street chatter. A closely watched electric vehicle maker and a cloud software company were among the talked stocks by analysts on Tuesday. "We move to Sell given the increased lack of visibility around an inflection in the aforementioned trends," said analyst Kash Rangan. – Samantha Subin 6:19 a.m.: Wall Street reacts to Reddit's first earnings print as a public company Reddit's first earnings report since hitting the public markets in March is garnering some mixed responses from Wall Street analysts. "Its limited production and commercial history leaves much to be seen," he wrote "Rivian must prove it can acquire the customer base, while maintaining low advertising costs."
Persons: there's, Baird, Goldman Sachs, Kash Rangan, Rangan, – Samantha Subin, Mark Shmulik, Reddit, Doug Anmuth, Bank of America's Justin Post, Citi's Ronald Josey, Samantha Subin, Mark Delaney, Rivian, Dan Levy, RIVN, Wells Fargo's Colin Langan, Langan, Datadog Baird, Amit Agarwal, Will Power, DDOG, Power, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, ZoomInfo Technologies, Wall Street, Google, Bank of America's, Barclays, Datadog, Cisco Locations: Rivian, Datadog
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMorningstar names JP Morgan's Clare Hart as 'outstanding portfolio manager of the year'Clare Hart, JP Morgan Asset Management portfolio manager, joins CNBC's 'Power Lunch' to discuss outlook on investments, equity, dividends, and more
Persons: Morgan's Clare Hart, Clare Hart Organizations: Morningstar, Morgan, Management
Goldman Sachs hiked its price target on Nvidia, calling for nearly 20% more gains ahead. The firm upgraded shares of Target to buy from neutral, and reiterated its $180 per share price target. The firm upgraded the clothing retailer to buy from neutral and increased its target price to $28 per share from $21. — Brian Evans 5:45 a.m.: Goldman Sachs raises Nvidia price target on still strong AI demand Goldman Sachs sees enough demand for artificial intelligence to drive sky high Nvidia even higher. The firm reiterated a buy rating on the chipmaker and raised its 12-month price target on the chipmaker to $1,100 from $1,000.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, TGT, Paul Lejuez, — Brian Evans, Wall, Brian Evans, Stephanie Yee, Toshiya Hari, Myles Allsop, Allsop, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Nvidia, UBS, Vale, Citi, Target, JPMorgan, UL Solutions, UL Locations: Monday's, North America, U.S, stoke, RIO
JPMorgan spotlighted a fresh set of stocks, reflecting its analysts' top picks as May begins, including Caterpillar , Bank of America and TJX Companies . The firm's focus list includes its top equity ideas targeted around growth, income, value and short strategies. Nicholas Rosato, head of JPMorgan's North American Equity Research, said all the stocks on the list have an overweight rating. Here are some of the top picks: United Airlines shares are up about 25% in 2024, fueled largely by a strong second-quarter earnings forecast . No longer included in this month's focus list are CMS Energy and Prologis , both of which are still rated overweight by JPMorgan.
Persons: Nicholas Rosato, Morgan Stanley, Ravi Shanker, Jay Sole, Rosato Organizations: JPMorgan, Caterpillar, Bank of America, TJX Companies, North American Equity Research, United Airlines, Boeing, Investors, UBS, CMS Energy, Prologis, CMS Locations: Thursday's, Maxx
The US government is shelling out $2 million per minute in interest payments on its debt. The surge in interest rate expenses has coincided with higher for longer interest rates. The US government is on track to pay more than $1 trillion in interest expenses this year. And that in turn means higher interest rates have actually helped fueled inflation rather than tame it. And you're not going to see meaningful downward pressure on shelter costs, until the Fed lowers interest rates," Manley said.
Persons: , Louis Fed, Jack Manley, Manley Organizations: Service, US Treasury, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury
Investment analysts are coalescing around a few potential winners in China's car market after a 10-day auto show in Beijing put the ferocious competition on full display. "This year, we notice[d] a meaningful amount of foreign visitors who are Chinese brands' overseas dealers or importers," JPMorgan analysts said. Open to the public After two days of restricting access only to business and media, the Beijing auto show opened to the general public. Jefferies' analysts estimate the policy could boost China's passenger vehicle sales by 1 million units this year, evenly split between electric and gas-powered models. The analysts highlighted their Chinese car stock picks as Leapmotor, Geely and BYD, all rated buy and listed in Hong Kong.
Persons: Nick Lai, BYD, Tesla, hasn't, Elon Musk, Nezha, Asensing, Zhang Haizhou, Morgan, Lei Jun, Xiaomi, Jefferies, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Leapmotor, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Asia Pacific, JPMorgan, Porsche, Apple Vision, Brands, Mazda, Auto, Morgan Stanley Asia Pacific, EV, Bank of America, Trade, Ministry of Commerce, Volkswagen, VW, Toyota Locations: Beijing, China, Asia, Europe, Nio, Zhejiang, Hong Kong
Youth unemployment, income inequality, regional disparities, and Russian oil remain big problems. But the work starts there, as he'll have to navigate thorny issues such as youth unemployment, income inequality, and reliance on sanctioned Russian oil. "The other key economic policy was JAM — the trinity of bank accounts for the poor, mobile numbers and a biometric card. Indian demand for Russian oil has cooled in recent months as new sanctions have made it more expensive, but the buying remains controversial. Alexandr Demyanchuk/AFP/Getty ImagesIndia the IT hubUnder Modi, India has made big strides in modernizing its economy, combating bureaucracy, and appealing to foreign investors.
Persons: Narendra Modi, Elon Musk, Jamie Dimon, Tim Cook, , Modi, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan's Dimon, He's, Musk, Apple's Cook, Joe Biden, Sundar Pichai, Anna Moneymaker, Jensen Huang, Satya Nadella, Alphabet's Sundar Pichai, Richard Rossow, Demonetisation, Kunal Sen, Sen, Tim Graham, Rossow, tycoons Mukesh Ambani, Gautam Adani, Mukesh Ambani, Isha Piramal, Rihanna, Shloka Mehta Ambani, Akash Ambani, Radhika Merchant, Anant, Radhika, Ambani, they'd, Neelima Jain, Vladimir Putin, Alexandr Demyanchuk, Sanjay Shetty, Shetty Organizations: Service, titans, Monetary Fund, Gross, World Bank, Economic, of New, Google, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, India, Studies, Center for Strategic & International Studies, United Nations, United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics, University of Manchester, International Labor Organization, Oxfam, Bloomberg, Reliance Industries, Adani, CSIS, Indian, Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, Getty, Modi, Big Tech, Randstad, Economic Times Locations: India, Britain, Japan, Germany, China, of New York, Nimaj, Rajasthan, North Korea, Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, Russia, Ukraine, Europe, Moscow, Western, Samarkand, AFP, Randstad India
America's big stagflation scare is over
  + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewThe US economy looks to have steered clear of danger after the specter of stagflation spooked markets and put analysts on edge in recent weeks. Further, average hourly earnings unexpectedly declined to 0.2%. And since elevated labor costs are part of the stagflation equation, the dip in average hourly earnings also signaled a period of languid growth will be avoided. It sent alarm bells ringing around stagflation, which occurs when inflation stays high despite a cooling economy.
Persons: , specter, Marko Kolanovic, Mohamed El, Bank of America's Michael Harnett —, Harnett Organizations: Service, Business, Bank of America, Bloomberg, Bank of America's
Analyst Scot Ciccarelli upgraded the retailer to buy from hold and raised his price target by $6 to $86. — Alex Harring 6: 22 a.m.: Here's what Wall Street thinks of Coinbase's earnings Coinbase's stronger-than-expected earnings have prompted analyst reactions. Barclays' Benjamin Budish (underweight, $179 price target unchanged, 21.8% downside): "The biggest question going forward is, how sustainable are these trends? — Alex Harring 6:12 a.m.: Wall Street reacts to Apple earnings Apple's buyback announcement has caught the eye of Wall Street analysts. Analyst Benjamin Nolan upgraded the railroad stock to buy from hold and increased his price target by $19 to $267.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Jefferies, Bernstein, Aneesha Sherman, Sherman, — Alex Harring, Truist, Scot Ciccarelli, Ciccarelli, Ollie's, Estee Lauder, Dara Mohsenian, Mohsenian, Alex Harring, FactSet, Coinbase, what's, , Goldman Sachs, Will Nance, Benjamin Budish, Oppenheimer's Owen Lau, JPMorgan's Samik Chatterjee, Morgan Stanley's Erik Woodring, Michael Ng, bullish, George Notter, Notter, We've, it's, Stifel, Benjamin Nolan, Nolan, — Alex Harring —, Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC, Arista and Union Pacific, Apple, Arista, FactSet, Barclays, Bloomberg, ASU, Street, Services, Jefferies, Arista Networks, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Pacific, Union Pacific Locations: F3Q, China, Thursday's
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailApple's buyback plan is one of the key reasons the stock is rallying, says JPMorgan's ChatterjeeSamik Chatterjee, JPMorgan analyst, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss Apple's share buyback plan, if a return to growth in Apple's China business is near, and more.
Persons: JPMorgan's Chatterjee Samik Chatterjee Organizations: JPMorgan Locations: China
AAPL 1D mountain Apple shares on Friday More substantive updates on Apple's latest AI offerings in both hardware and services are expected to come during its Worldwide Developers Conference in June. According to JPMorgan's Samik Chatterjee, the focus during the event will primarily be on the AI features Apple will include in its iOS 18 software. Mohan holds a buy rating on shares and slightly increased his price target to $230 from $225. "We think Apple can deliver AI upside without the AI capex we see elsewhere," Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani wrote in a Thursday note following the earnings. "Apple is accelerating investments in Generative AI and [is] set to introduce new features at its most important developer conference ever."
Persons: Apple didn't, Wall, JPMorgan's Samik Chatterjee, Wamsi Mohan, Mohan, Amit Daryanani, Morgan Stanley's Erik Woodring, Woodring, Wells Fargo's Aaron Rakers, Rakers, America's Mohan, Michael Bloom Organizations: Apple, Worldwide Developers Conference, of America, America's Locations: WWDC
JPMorgan's Stephen Tusa shares under-the-radar AI plays
  + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJPMorgan's Stephen Tusa shares under-the-radar AI playsStephen Tusa, JPMorgan analyst, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to discuss how data centers could benefit from the AI hype cycle.
Persons: Stephen Tusa Organizations: JPMorgan
Retail dollars flowed out of bitcoin ETFs in April, and investors should adopt a cautious stance on the cryptocurrency for now, according to JPMorgan. "The past two weeks saw significant selling/profit taking with perhaps retail investors playing a bigger role than institutional investors," JPMorgan's Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou said in a note Thursday. "Indeed, not only have spot bitcoin ETFs seen outflows in April but our proxies of the retail impulse into equities have also downshifted over the past month." Panigirtzoglou noted that in addition to crypto, retail investors also sold equities in April and that the impulse into stocks has also shifted down. "This is shown by … the net flow into equity funds including ETFs and mutual funds, typically used by retail investors … [which] turned negative in April after strong buying in February and March," he said.
Persons: JPMorgan's Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, Panigirtzoglou, cryptocurrencies Organizations: JPMorgan, Metrics, Investors, Federal
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